> Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

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Phillip_McCavity
#1 2020-10-17 04:23:30

Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wi … lue-state/

Wisconsin is proof that politicos have short memories. In 2004, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry carried Wisconsin by just 0.4 percentage points — making it the closest state in the country. Four years earlier, it had been even closer — Democrat Al Gore won the Badger State by just 5,708 votes, or 0.2 points.

But Democrat Barack Obama really connected with Wisconsin voters, winning the state by 14 points in 2008 and 7 points in 2012. Going into 2016, that contributed to a sense that Wisconsin was a safe bet for Hillary Clinton — part of the mythical “blue wall.” It had, after all, voted Democratic in seven consecutive presidential elections by that point.

We all know what happened next: Now-President Trump carried Wisconsin by 0.8 percentage points, reaffirming its status as a swing state. It was the third time in five presidential elections that Wisconsin was decided by less than a point. Fast forward to 2020, and both sides are rightly treating it as a potential tipping point state. According to the FiveThirtyEight forecast,1 Wisconsin has a 13 percent chance of providing the decisive vote in the Electoral College; only Pennsylvania and Florida are likelier tipping points.

Conventional wisdom says that Clinton lost Wisconsin because she infamously did not visit the state at all during the final seven months of the 2016 campaign. But that’s probably not true; Clinton devoted a lot of effort to winning Pennsylvania and still lost there, for instance. Instead, Wisconsin probably got redder in 2016 for the same reason that Pennsylvania and other Midwestern states did: demographics. The one-time home of progressive stalwarts like Robert “Fighting Bob” La Follette and Victor Berger could not escape the modern reality that white people without a bachelor’s degree — who make up 59 percent of Wisconsin’s population age 25 and older — have become more and more Republican, especially in the Trump era. According to an analysis by the Center for American Progress, white voters without a college degree in Wisconsin went from supporting Mitt Romney 52 percent to 47 percent in 2012 to supporting Trump 56 percent to 38 percent in 2016....

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#2 2020-10-17 04:34:36

Re: Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

Phillip_McCavity wrote:

But Democrat Barack Obama really connected with Wisconsin voters

Obama brought out a large non-voting black population in Milwaukee.  It's not racist to say that, why don't they say that?

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Dindo Nuffins
#3 2020-10-17 11:53:47

Re: Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

white people without a bachelor’s degree
\
press


Do they actually write shyt like that with a straight face?  lol

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VOTE HIM OUT
#4 2020-10-17 12:01:01

Re: Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

Dindo Nuffins wrote:

white people without a bachelor’s degree
\
press


Do they actually write shyt like that with a straight face?  lol

Well chances are they just want to say "Trump voting retard" but can't get away with that either professionally or ethically.

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Yellow Piss on Trump
#5 2020-10-17 12:12:25

Re: Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

VOTE HIM OUT wrote:

Well chances are they just want to say "Trump voting retard" but can't get away with that either professionally or ethically.

potd

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Dindo Nuffins
#6 2020-10-17 12:43:34

Re: Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

VOTE HIM OUT wrote:

Well chances are they just want to say "Trump voting retard" but can't get away with that either professionally or ethically.

What do they say about black people, or brown ones, or yellow ones?  lol

You fuqers are such racists, that is all you think about.  Skin color.

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cat
#7 2020-10-17 15:34:47

Re: Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

VOTE HIM OUT wrote:

Well chances are they just want to say "Trump voting retard" but can't get away with that either professionally or ethically.

lol

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Original_Lonely_Guy
#8 2020-10-17 21:36:24

Re: Wisconsin was never a safe blue state

It is hard to believe that Heekee actually wants the shyt show that is WI politics (bagger judges not letting the Governor make health orders because $$ for corps)

Extreme Gerrymandering so that 35% of the voters have 65% of the representives.

facepalm

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